The trillion dollar paradox
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The trillion dollar paradox
BY esv3v
June 30, 2025
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9663 views
Key Points: Transitioning to Renewable Energy
Village Water Analogy
The village relies on costly trucked water monthly.
A massive underground water source could provide limitless water but requires costly infrastructure upfront.
The analogy is used to discuss fossil fuels vs. renewable energy.
Fossil Fuels vs. Renewable Energy
Fossil Fuels
:
Not free; ongoing costs for fuel and infrastructure maintenance.
Renewable Energy
:
Resources such as wind, water, and sunlight are free and limitless.
High initial costs to build infrastructure but lower long-term costs.
Economic Analysis
Past economic models saw renewable transition as impractical and expensive.
Early predictions priced solar power much higher than fossil fuels.
Significant investments in R&D by countries like Germany and China drastically reduced solar costs.
Solar power is now much cheaper than originally projected, making it competitive with coal.
Financial Imperative
Transitioning to renewables could save trillions over the next three decades despite high upfront costs.
Addressing global warming is also a financial necessity due to costs from extreme weather, rising sea levels, etc.
Climate Change Costs
DICE model suggests costs rise with temperature increases squared.
Actual future costs may include catastrophic events not predicted by models, leading to spikes in expenses.
US climate disaster costs since 1980 have amounted to $2.8 trillion.
Conclusion
Transitioning to a green economy protects future generations and saves money in the present.
The updated economic outlook shows transitioning is a logical and financially sound choice.
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